Revealed: The Premier League’s best ‘clutch’ players
We dive into the data to identify which Premier League players have the best knack for delivering decisive goals when it matters most.

Photo: Wikimedia Commons / CC BY 4.0 / Author: AFC Bournemouth
The sporting concept of being 'clutch' — the ability to perform under pressure when a game is on the line — has become a key metric for evaluating impact. By analyzing Premier League data from the past five seasons, we can identify those players who consistently shift the narrative of a match with game-changing goals.
Assessing 'clutchness' requires looking beyond total goal counts. The methodology focuses on 'average goal value', which measures the importance of a strike based on the time elapsed and the impact on the scoreline. Goals that break a deadlock or provide a crucial cushion late in the game hold significantly more weight than those scored in comfortable victories.
Among current Premier League players, Chelsea’s Morgan Rogers stands out. With 17 of his 21 goals for Aston Villa having shifted the game state, he is poised to be a pivotal figure for the London side this season. Similarly, Harry Wilson, who recently joined Leeds United on a free transfer, boasts one of the highest average values for game-state changing goals (0.74) among active players.
While Erling Haaland leads in total 'security goals', other players like Bruno Guimaraes and Darwin Nunez have demonstrated a higher share of late-game heroics. These contributions, often arriving after the 80th minute, are what separate folklore moments from standard performances as matches become stretched and desperate.